ATP tennis predict — Samir Hamza Reguig vs Maxim Zhukov

Challenger Hard Istanbul challenger · qualification - 1. round 09:10

Predicted probability

Samir Hamza Reguig

Algeria

51.96%

Maxim Zhukov

Russia

48.04%

Average Odds

2.87 / 1.37

Market probability

32.31% / 67.69%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1505.6 Elo 1406.7

1405.0 Elo (surface) 1404.5

5 Wins (Challenger) 16

2 Wins (surface) 16

5 Last 15 form 6

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.859 Dominance ratio 0.846

682 Rank 544

24.6 Age 21.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Samir Hamza Reguig

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 2W–3L · 40.0%

9 matches with market odds since 2026-07-05.

Maxim Zhukov

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

4 matches with market odds since 2026-08-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Samir Hamza Reguig Maxim Zhukov

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

58.7%

58.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

61.5%

62.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

43.6%

46.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

34.3%

32.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.9%

48.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.28

0.49

Double Faults per Service Game

0.51

0.43

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Samir Hamza Reguig Maxim Zhukov

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

56.8%

48.5%

Break Points Converted %

45.8%

37.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Samir Hamza Reguig 0 – 0 Maxim Zhukov

Hard Istanbul challenger · 2026-09-06

qualification - 1. round

Samir Hamza Reguig #682

Maxim Zhukov #544

7-6 3-6 1-0

5 Aces 3

3 Double Faults 6

74 Service Points 96

38 First Serve In 58

28 First Serve Won 42

22 Second Serve Won 17

4 Break Points Saved 6

6 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.9 Average Odds 1.4

Samir Hamza Reguig vs Maxim Zhukov — Prediction