ATP tennis predict — Sam Ryan Ziegann vs Yuta Kawahashi

Challenger Hard Phan Thiet 3 challenger · qualification - round of 16 05:10

Predicted probability

Sam Ryan Ziegann

Australia

47.58%

Yuta Kawahashi

Japan

52.42%

Average Odds

2.13 / 1.65

Market probability

43.65% / 56.35%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1382.4 Elo 1387.9

1446.9 Elo (surface) 1394.6

2 Wins (Challenger) 3

2 Wins (surface) 3

2 Last 15 form 3

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.785 Dominance ratio 0.941

820 Rank 663

28.1 Age 28.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Sam Ryan Ziegann

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

6 matches with market odds since 2026-07-05.

Yuta Kawahashi

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

3 matches with market odds since 2026-09-06.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Sam Ryan Ziegann Yuta Kawahashi

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

62.0%

56.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.6%

63.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.7%

52.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.9%

29.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

40.9%

54.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.52

0.32

Double Faults per Service Game

0.28

0.24

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Sam Ryan Ziegann Yuta Kawahashi

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

56.1%

59.2%

Break Points Converted %

31.1%

40.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Sam Ryan Ziegann 0 – 0 Yuta Kawahashi

Hard Phan Thiet 3 challenger · 2026-09-07

qualification - round of 16

Sam Ryan Ziegann #820

Yuta Kawahashi #663

6-4 6-4

1 Aces 7

1 Double Faults 1

62 Service Points 67

33 First Serve In 41

23 First Serve Won 30

14 Second Serve Won 14

9 Break Points Saved 2

12 Break Points Faced 3

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.1 Average Odds 1.6

Sam Ryan Ziegann vs Yuta Kawahashi — Prediction