ATP tennis predict — Saba Purtseladze vs Toufik Sahtali

Challenger Hard Istanbul challenger · qualification - round of 16

Predicted probability

Saba Purtseladze

Georgia

50.70%

Toufik Sahtali

Algeria

49.30%

Average Odds

1.60 / 2.20

Market probability

57.89% / 42.11%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1293.0 Elo 1651.0

1495.4 Elo (surface) 1531.2

25 Wins (Challenger) 2

22 Wins (surface) 2

2 Last 15 form 2

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.755 Dominance ratio 1.887

657 Rank 550

25.0 Age 27.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Saba Purtseladze

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–6L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Toufik Sahtali

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

5 matches with market odds since 2026-07-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Saba Purtseladze Toufik Sahtali

1st Serve In %

59.1%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

65.6%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.8%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

22.8%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.8%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.50

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.17

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.1%

59.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.9%

66.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

43.9%

55.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.6%

37.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

56.7%

52.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.30

0.22

Double Faults per Service Game

0.46

0.39

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Saba Purtseladze Toufik Sahtali

Break Points Saved %

52.5%

—

Break Points Converted %

24.3%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

59.1%

40.9%

Break Points Converted %

44.0%

42.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Saba Purtseladze 0 – 0 Toufik Sahtali

Hard Istanbul challenger · 2026-08-03

qualification - round of 16

Saba Purtseladze #659

Toufik Sahtali #550

6-3 6-1

3 Aces 2

5 Double Faults 6

56 Service Points 48

29 First Serve In 29

22 First Serve Won 16

16 Second Serve Won 8

8 Break Points Saved 1

8 Break Points Faced 5

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.6 Average Odds 2.2

Saba Purtseladze vs Toufik Sahtali — Prediction