ATP tennis predict — Saba Purtseladze vs Izan Almazan Valiente

Challenger Clay Sevilla challenger · qualification - 1. round 12:30

Predicted probability

Saba Purtseladze

Georgia

34.34%

Izan Almazan Valiente

Spain

65.66%

Average Odds

2.62 / 1.44

Market probability

35.47% / 64.53%

Why This Prediction?

Izan Almazan Valiente is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1535 vs 1393), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1503 vs 1329) and fewer double faults per game (0.12 vs 0.20).

Player Comparison

1392.6 Elo 1534.9

1328.8 Elo (surface) 1502.7

29 Wins (Challenger) 9

5 Wins (surface) 2

6 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.914 Dominance ratio 0.857

578 Rank 491

25.0 Age 20.5

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Saba Purtseladze

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–6L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Izan Almazan Valiente

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-06-28.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Saba Purtseladze Izan Almazan Valiente

1st Serve In %

59.1%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

65.6%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.8%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

22.8%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.8%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.50

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.17

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.1%

58.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.9%

69.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

43.9%

46.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.6%

31.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

56.7%

46.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.30

0.20

Double Faults per Service Game

0.46

0.29

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Saba Purtseladze Izan Almazan Valiente

Break Points Saved %

52.5%

—

Break Points Converted %

24.3%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

59.1%

58.3%

Break Points Converted %

44.0%

48.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Saba Purtseladze 0 – 0 Izan Almazan Valiente

Clay Sevilla challenger · 2026-09-06

qualification - 1. round

Izan Almazan Valiente #491

Saba Purtseladze #578

6-2 3-6 6-1

4 Aces 1

7 Double Faults 3

65 Service Points 75

33 First Serve In 50

24 First Serve Won 34

11 Second Serve Won 11

2 Break Points Saved 3

8 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.4 Average Odds 2.6

Saba Purtseladze vs Izan Almazan Valiente — Prediction