ATP tennis predict — S D Prajwal Dev vs Alex Degabriele

Challenger Hard Grodzisk Mazowiecki challenger · qualification - 1. round

Predicted probability

S D Prajwal Dev

India

38.34%

Alex Degabriele

Malta

61.66%

Average Odds

1.08 / 6.64

Market probability

86.01% / 13.99%

Why This Prediction?

Alex Degabriele is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1669 vs 1286) and a stronger serve (71.1% vs 58.5% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1285.9 Elo 1669.3

1288.2 Elo (surface) 1500

13 Wins (Challenger) 0

10 Wins (surface) 0

4 Last 15 form 0

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.849 Dominance ratio 1.850

624 Rank -

30.2 Age 21.8

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

S D Prajwal Dev

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

12 matches with market odds since 2026-07-05.

Alex Degabriele

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

2 matches with market odds since 2026-07-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

S D Prajwal Dev Alex Degabriele

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

58.1%

61.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.0%

73.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.8%

50.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.7%

35.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.2%

45.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.22

0.41

Double Faults per Service Game

0.40

0.24

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

S D Prajwal Dev Alex Degabriele

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

66.3%

50.0%

Break Points Converted %

49.2%

37.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

S D Prajwal Dev 0 – 0 Alex Degabriele

Hard Grodzisk Mazowiecki challenger · 2026-08-02

qualification - 1. round

S D Prajwal Dev #624

Alex Degabriele #-

6-2 7-6

0 Aces 6

1 Double Faults 3

59 Service Points 60

42 First Serve In 30

35 First Serve Won 21

10 Second Serve Won 15

3 Break Points Saved 1

4 Break Points Faced 4

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.1 Average Odds 6.6

S D Prajwal Dev vs Alex Degabriele — Prediction