← Back to Predictions

Ryuki Matsuda vs Yuta Kikuchi — Prediction

Challenger Hard Wuning 3 challenger · qualification - round of 16 06:35

Predicted probability

Ryuki Matsuda

Japan

43.75%

Yuta Kikuchi

Japan

56.25%

Average Odds

1.37  /  2.91

Market probability

67.99%  /  32.01%

Why This Prediction?

Yuta Kikuchi is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1484 vs 1374), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1479 vs 1370) and a stronger return game (39.9% vs 33.6% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1374.2 Elo 1483.9
1369.6 Elo (surface) 1479.2
28 Wins (Challenger) 12
28 Wins (surface) 12
5 Last 15 form 8
0 Head-to-head wins 1
0.800 Dominance ratio 0.944
686 Rank 950
26.8 Age 27.0
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Ryuki Matsuda

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

4 matches with market odds since 2026-09-13.

Yuta Kikuchi

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

4 matches with market odds since 2026-09-13.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Ryuki Matsuda Yuta Kikuchi

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

70.1%
65.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

63.4%
64.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

44.6%
45.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

20.0%
32.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.1%
48.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.19
0.20

Double Faults per Service Game

0.15
0.21

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Ryuki Matsuda Yuta Kikuchi

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

50.8%
56.7%

Break Points Converted %

36.1%
37.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Ryuki Matsuda 0 – 1 Yuta Kikuchi

Hard Miyazaki CH · 2026-03-30
6-3 6-2
1 Aces 0
1 Double Faults 1
59 Service Points 58
37 First Serve In 38
30 First Serve Won 21
9 Second Serve Won 7
2 Break Points Saved 7
3 Break Points Faced 11
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -

Ryuki Matsuda — Last 10

W L W W L L L L L L

Yuta Kikuchi — Last 10

W L W W L W L W L L