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Ryuki Matsuda vs Sergey Betov — Prediction

Challenger Hard Wuning 3 challenger · qualification - 1. round 10:45

Predicted probability

Ryuki Matsuda

Japan

89.15%

Sergey Betov

Belarus

10.85%

Average Odds

1.06  /  8.07

Market probability

88.39%  /  11.61%

Why This Prediction?

Ryuki Matsuda is the favorite because he has fewer double faults per game (0.10 vs 0.15) and a stronger return game (33.6% vs 32.0% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1352.0 Elo 1356.5
1344.7 Elo (surface) 1390.3
27 Wins (Challenger) 39
27 Wins (surface) 32
5 Last 15 form 3
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.800 Dominance ratio 0.707
686 Rank 1631
26.8 Age 39.0
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Ryuki Matsuda

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

3 matches with market odds since 2026-09-13.

Sergey Betov

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

1 matches with market odds since 2026-07-27.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Ryuki Matsuda Sergey Betov

1st Serve In %

—
60.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

—
69.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—
54.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—
27.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—
50.6%

Aces per Service Game

—
0.30

Double Faults per Service Game

—
0.18

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

68.4%
55.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

63.3%
65.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

44.4%
44.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

20.6%
26.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.4%
45.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.18
0.49

Double Faults per Service Game

0.20
0.33

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Ryuki Matsuda Sergey Betov

Break Points Saved %

—
60.0%

Break Points Converted %

—
41.2%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

49.3%
42.4%

Break Points Converted %

35.7%
26.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Ryuki Matsuda and Sergey Betov have never played each other.

Ryuki Matsuda — Last 10

L W W L L L L L L L

Sergey Betov — Last 10

L L L L L L L L L L