ATP tennis predict — Ryo Tabata vs Svyatoslav Gulin

Challenger Clay Plovdiv 4 challenger · qualification - 1. round 09:00

Predicted probability

Ryo Tabata

Japan

19.80%

Svyatoslav Gulin

Russia

80.20%

Average Odds

3.82 / 1.21

Market probability

24.06% / 75.94%

Why This Prediction?

Svyatoslav Gulin is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1632 vs 1456), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1635 vs 1590) and a stronger serve (63.6% vs 54.6% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1456.0 Elo 1631.7

1589.7 Elo (surface) 1635.4

5 Wins (Challenger) 33

3 Wins (surface) 27

5 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.683 Dominance ratio 0.880

961 Rank 562

18.7 Age 23.8

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Ryo Tabata

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

3 matches with market odds since 2026-06-16.

Svyatoslav Gulin

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Ryo Tabata Svyatoslav Gulin

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

65.0%

61.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

60.3%

69.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.1%

54.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

24.7%

26.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

43.9%

43.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.20

0.42

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Ryo Tabata Svyatoslav Gulin

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

58.1%

62.5%

Break Points Converted %

37.7%

33.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Ryo Tabata 0 – 0 Svyatoslav Gulin

Clay Plovdiv 4 challenger · 2026-09-20

qualification - 1. round

Svyatoslav Gulin #567

Ryo Tabata #961

7-6 6-1

0 Aces 2

3 Double Faults 3

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

21 First Serve Won 24

8 Second Serve Won 19

4 Break Points Saved 6

8 Break Points Faced 8

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.2 Average Odds 3.8

Ryo Tabata vs Svyatoslav Gulin — Prediction