ATP tennis predict — Ryan Seggerman vs Mitchell Krueger

Challenger Hard Tiburon challenger · R16 19:00

Predicted probability

Ryan Seggerman

USA

61.34%

Mitchell Krueger

USA

38.66%

Average Odds

1.80 / 1.92

Market probability

51.61% / 48.39%

Why This Prediction?

Ryan Seggerman is the favorite because he has a stronger serve (69.6% vs 62.6% of service points won), a higher Elo rating (1649 vs 1619) and more aces per game (0.36 vs 0.16).

Player Comparison

1648.9 Elo 1618.9

1559.9 Elo (surface) 1605.0

52 Wins (Challenger) 225

28 Wins (surface) 174

11 Last 15 form 6

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.022 Dominance ratio 1.026

672 Rank 412

27.1 Age 32.7

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Ryan Seggerman

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

11 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Mitchell Krueger

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

8 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Ryan Seggerman Mitchell Krueger

1st Serve In %

55.3%

66.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.5%

66.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.5%

47.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.3%

30.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

42.1%

40.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.79

0.34

Double Faults per Service Game

0.43

0.10

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.4%

63.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

76.1%

69.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

57.1%

43.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

22.1%

34.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.7%

47.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.42

0.59

Double Faults per Service Game

0.25

0.35

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Ryan Seggerman Mitchell Krueger

Break Points Saved %

56.4%

60.9%

Break Points Converted %

34.6%

34.7%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

56.8%

60.8%

Break Points Converted %

23.5%

42.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Ryan Seggerman 0 – 0 Mitchell Krueger

Hard Tiburon challenger · 2026-09-17

R16

Mitchell Krueger #412

Ryan Seggerman #672

4-6 6-1 7-6

22 Aces 4

8 Double Faults 1

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

45 First Serve Won 41

17 Second Serve Won 27

10 Break Points Saved 5

13 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.9 Average Odds 1.8

Ryan Seggerman vs Mitchell Krueger — Prediction