ATP tennis predict — Ryan Seggerman vs Kaichi Uchida

Challenger Hard Wuning 3 challenger · R16 04:00

Predicted probability

Ryan Seggerman

USA

67.06%

Kaichi Uchida

Japan

32.94%

Average Odds

1.28 / 3.46

Market probability

73.00% / 27.00%

Why This Prediction?

Ryan Seggerman is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1638 vs 1467), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1567 vs 1483) and a stronger serve (69.6% vs 55.8% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1637.7 Elo 1467.4

1566.8 Elo (surface) 1482.7

55 Wins (Challenger) 166

31 Wins (surface) 137

10 Last 15 form 2

1 Head-to-head wins 0

1.022 Dominance ratio 0.791

620 Rank 386

27.2 Age 32.1

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Ryan Seggerman

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Kaichi Uchida

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–4L · 0.0%

9 matches with market odds since 2026-06-22.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Ryan Seggerman Kaichi Uchida

1st Serve In %

55.3%

62.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.5%

71.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.5%

47.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.3%

29.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

42.1%

48.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.79

0.56

Double Faults per Service Game

0.43

0.19

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

63.7%

56.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

77.2%

64.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

55.6%

44.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

20.7%

28.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.0%

46.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.91

0.38

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27

0.29

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Ryan Seggerman Kaichi Uchida

Break Points Saved %

56.4%

63.2%

Break Points Converted %

34.6%

33.9%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

63.4%

45.0%

Break Points Converted %

26.1%

32.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Ryan Seggerman 1 – 0 Kaichi Uchida

Hard Bloomfield Hills CH · 2024-07-01

R32

Ryan Seggerman #475

Kaichi Uchida #377

7-6(3) 6-1

19 Aces 5

3 Double Faults 4

66 Service Points 59

40 First Serve In 33

35 First Serve Won 22

12 Second Serve Won 14

1 Break Points Saved 0

1 Break Points Faced 2

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Ryan Seggerman vs Kaichi Uchida — Prediction