ATP tennis predict — Ryan Seggerman vs Alex Rybakov

Challenger Hard Tiburon challenger · qualification - round of 16 20:30

Predicted probability

Ryan Seggerman

USA

51.57%

Alex Rybakov

USA

48.43%

Average Odds

1.70 / 2.03

Market probability

54.42% / 45.58%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1595.5 Elo 1529.6

1473.0 Elo (surface) 1496.2

49 Wins (Challenger) 121

25 Wins (surface) 74

10 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.022 Dominance ratio 1.072

683 Rank 478

27.1 Age 29.6

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Ryan Seggerman

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

11 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Alex Rybakov

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

8 matches with market odds since 2026-07-05.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Ryan Seggerman Alex Rybakov

1st Serve In %

55.3%

69.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.5%

69.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.5%

51.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.3%

26.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

42.1%

43.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.79

0.50

Double Faults per Service Game

0.43

0.29

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.4%

62.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

76.1%

68.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

57.1%

55.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

22.1%

37.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.42

0.41

Double Faults per Service Game

0.25

0.26

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Ryan Seggerman Alex Rybakov

Break Points Saved %

56.4%

58.5%

Break Points Converted %

34.6%

43.2%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

56.8%

71.1%

Break Points Converted %

23.5%

30.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Ryan Seggerman 0 – 0 Alex Rybakov

Hard Tiburon challenger · 2026-09-14

qualification - round of 16

Ryan Seggerman #672

Alex Rybakov #499

7-6 6-3

3 Aces 8

2 Double Faults 3

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

33 First Serve Won 39

17 Second Serve Won 9

0 Break Points Saved 8

0 Break Points Faced 9

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.7 Average Odds 2.0

Ryan Seggerman vs Alex Rybakov — Prediction