ATP tennis predict — Ryan Peniston vs Daniil Glinka

Challenger Hard Cassis challenger · 1. round 13:00

Predicted probability

Ryan Peniston

Great Britain

30.19%

Daniil Glinka

Estonia

69.81%

Average Odds

3.25 / 1.31

Market probability

28.73% / 71.27%

Why This Prediction?

Daniil Glinka is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1640 vs 1526), a higher Elo rating (1630 vs 1528) and a stronger serve (66.9% vs 60.4% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1528.3 Elo 1630.1

1526.0 Elo (surface) 1639.9

124 Wins (Challenger) 78

97 Wins (surface) 72

6 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.067 Dominance ratio 1.231

455 Rank 156

30.8 Age 26.3

left Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Ryan Peniston

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

3 matches with market odds since 2026-08-24.

Daniil Glinka

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–3L · 72.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

25 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Ryan Peniston Daniil Glinka

1st Serve In %

62.6%

61.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.1%

71.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.4%

47.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.1%

23.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.0%

44.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.22

0.50

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29

0.32

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

64.0%

65.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.3%

68.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

43.9%

51.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.4%

35.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.4%

51.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.18

0.38

Double Faults per Service Game

0.49

0.22

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Ryan Peniston Daniil Glinka

Break Points Saved %

50.0%

60.0%

Break Points Converted %

27.0%

42.9%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

55.1%

54.2%

Break Points Converted %

43.2%

41.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Ryan Peniston 0 – 0 Daniil Glinka

Hard Cassis challenger · 2026-09-07

1. round

Daniil Glinka #156

Ryan Peniston #455

7-6 6-2

2 Aces 4

2 Double Faults 5

69 Service Points 74

48 First Serve In 43

29 First Serve Won 28

9 Second Serve Won 17

4 Break Points Saved 5

8 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.3 Average Odds 3.2

Ryan Peniston vs Daniil Glinka — Prediction