ATP tennis predict — Ryan Nijboer vs Tommaso Compagnucci

Challenger Clay Sion challenger · R16 10:00

Predicted probability

Ryan Nijboer

Netherlands

51.30%

Tommaso Compagnucci

Italy

48.70%

Average Odds

2.10 / 1.68

Market probability

44.44% / 55.56%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1579.7 Elo 1585.3

1632.4 Elo (surface) 1609.1

50 Wins (Challenger) 27

46 Wins (surface) 26

10 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.833 Dominance ratio 0.986

508 Rank 364

27.1 Age 26.8

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Ryan Nijboer

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–2L · 71.4%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-07-05.

Tommaso Compagnucci

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–3L · 62.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Ryan Nijboer Tommaso Compagnucci

1st Serve In %

60.8%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

64.4%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.5%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.9%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.4%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.38

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.38

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

63.3%

63.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.7%

68.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

43.0%

44.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

34.4%

30.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

41.0%

39.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.39

0.17

Double Faults per Service Game

0.32

0.20

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Ryan Nijboer Tommaso Compagnucci

Break Points Saved %

68.6%

—

Break Points Converted %

47.4%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

51.5%

60.3%

Break Points Converted %

44.3%

40.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Ryan Nijboer 0 – 0 Tommaso Compagnucci

Clay Sion challenger · 2026-08-19

R16

Tommaso Compagnucci #364

Ryan Nijboer #508

6-3 6-2

3 Aces 4

0 Double Faults 0

54 Service Points 55

33 First Serve In 41

19 First Serve Won 28

10 Second Serve Won 9

4 Break Points Saved 4

8 Break Points Faced 5

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.7 Average Odds 2.1

Ryan Nijboer vs Tommaso Compagnucci — Prediction