ATP tennis predict — Ryan Nijboer vs Jannik Opitz

Challenger Hard Hamburg challenger · qualification - 1. round 13:30

Predicted probability

Ryan Nijboer

Netherlands

60.69%

Jannik Opitz

Germany

39.31%

Average Odds

1.31 / 3.22

Market probability

71.08% / 28.92%

Why This Prediction?

Ryan Nijboer is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1586 vs 1466), more career match wins (49 vs 6) and more wins on hard courts (1 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1585.9 Elo 1466.0

1352.4 Elo (surface) 1563.3

49 Wins (Challenger) 6

4 Wins (surface) 5

11 Last 15 form 6

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.900 Dominance ratio 0.915

504 Rank 844

27.0 Age 28.3

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Ryan Nijboer

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–2L · 71.4%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-07-05.

Jannik Opitz

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

8 matches with market odds since 2026-07-05.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Ryan Nijboer Jannik Opitz

1st Serve In %

60.8%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

64.4%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.5%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.9%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.4%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.38

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.38

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

63.3%

60.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.7%

72.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

43.0%

50.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

34.4%

30.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

41.0%

45.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.39

0.34

Double Faults per Service Game

0.32

0.35

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Ryan Nijboer Jannik Opitz

Break Points Saved %

68.6%

—

Break Points Converted %

47.4%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

51.5%

57.4%

Break Points Converted %

44.3%

35.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Ryan Nijboer 0 – 0 Jannik Opitz

Hard Hamburg challenger · 2026-08-09

qualification - 1. round

Jannik Opitz #844

Ryan Nijboer #504

6-3 2-6 6-3

6 Aces 15

2 Double Faults 4

69 Service Points 74

53 First Serve In 40

38 First Serve Won 31

9 Second Serve Won 18

4 Break Points Saved 4

7 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

3.2 Average Odds 1.3

Ryan Nijboer vs Jannik Opitz — Prediction