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Ryan Nijboer vs Iannis Miletich — Prediction

Challenger Clay Genoa 2 challenger · qualification - 1. round 10:30

Predicted probability

Ryan Nijboer

Netherlands

81.56%

Iannis Miletich

Italy

18.44%

Average Odds

1.07  /  6.15

Market probability

85.18%  /  14.82%

Why This Prediction?

Ryan Nijboer is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1617 vs 1392), a higher Elo rating (1574 vs 1389) and more career match wins (50 vs 2).

Player Comparison

1573.7 Elo 1388.5
1617.3 Elo (surface) 1391.7
50 Wins (Challenger) 2
46 Wins (surface) 1
10 Last 15 form 2
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.861 Dominance ratio 0.889
482 Rank 1005
27.2 Age 21.1
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Ryan Nijboer

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–2L · 71.4%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-07-05.

Iannis Miletich

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

1 matches with market odds since 2026-09-20.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Ryan Nijboer Iannis Miletich

1st Serve In %

60.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.38

Double Faults per Service Game

0.38

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

63.3%
56.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.7%
66.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

43.0%
54.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

34.4%
31.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

41.0%
41.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.39
0.33

Double Faults per Service Game

0.32
0.23

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Ryan Nijboer Iannis Miletich

Break Points Saved %

68.6%

Break Points Converted %

47.4%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

51.5%
51.1%

Break Points Converted %

44.3%
37.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Ryan Nijboer 00 Iannis Miletich

Clay Genoa 2 challenger · 2026-09-20

qualification - 1. round

Ryan Nijboer #415

Iannis Miletich #967

6-3 6-3
2 Aces 3
8 Double Faults 3
- Service Points -
- First Serve In -
27 First Serve Won 23
13 Second Serve Won 13
2 Break Points Saved 4
2 Break Points Faced 7
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
1.1 Average Odds 6.2

Ryan Nijboer — Last 10

L L W L W L L W W W

Iannis Miletich — Last 7

L L L W L L W