ATP tennis predict — Ryan Nijboer vs Francesco Forti

Challenger Clay Genoa 2 challenger · 1. round 13:30

Predicted probability

Ryan Nijboer

Netherlands

38.17%

Francesco Forti

Italy

61.83%

Average Odds

2.07 / 1.70

Market probability

45.09% / 54.91%

Why This Prediction?

Francesco Forti is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1635 vs 1557), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1630 vs 1595) and a stronger return game (40.2% vs 36.7% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1557.1 Elo 1634.8

1595.3 Elo (surface) 1629.8

51 Wins (Challenger) 99

47 Wins (surface) 81

9 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.861 Dominance ratio 1.048

415 Rank 357

27.2 Age 27.2

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Ryan Nijboer

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–2L · 71.4%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-07-05.

Francesco Forti

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 6W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–5L · 58.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

27 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Ryan Nijboer Francesco Forti

1st Serve In %

60.8%

56.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.4%

67.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.5%

37.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.9%

21.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.4%

43.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.38

0.48

Double Faults per Service Game

0.38

0.56

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

63.3%

61.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.7%

73.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

43.0%

46.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

34.4%

37.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

41.0%

52.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.39

0.37

Double Faults per Service Game

0.32

0.21

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Ryan Nijboer Francesco Forti

Break Points Saved %

68.6%

40.0%

Break Points Converted %

47.4%

21.4%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

51.5%

50.0%

Break Points Converted %

44.3%

45.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Ryan Nijboer 0 – 0 Francesco Forti

Clay Genoa 2 challenger · 2026-09-22

1. round

Francesco Forti #357

Ryan Nijboer #415

6-3 6-4

1 Aces 0

5 Double Faults 4

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

24 First Serve Won 24

15 Second Serve Won 14

5 Break Points Saved 6

10 Break Points Faced 9

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.7 Average Odds 2.1

Ryan Nijboer vs Francesco Forti — Prediction