ATP tennis predict — Ryan Nijboer vs Alejandro Juan Mano

Challenger Clay Genoa 2 challenger · qualification - round of 16 12:00

Predicted probability

Ryan Nijboer

Netherlands

75.85%

Alejandro Juan Mano

Spain

24.15%

Average Odds

1.38 / 2.87

Market probability

67.53% / 32.47%

Why This Prediction?

Ryan Nijboer is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1626 vs 1419), a higher Elo rating (1583 vs 1427) and more career match wins (51 vs 1).

Player Comparison

1583.2 Elo 1427.2

1625.9 Elo (surface) 1419.4

51 Wins (Challenger) 1

47 Wins (surface) 1

10 Last 15 form 1

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.861 Dominance ratio 0.879

415 Rank 625

27.2 Age 21.7

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Ryan Nijboer

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–2L · 71.4%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-07-05.

Alejandro Juan Mano

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

3 matches with market odds since 2026-09-20.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Ryan Nijboer Alejandro Juan Mano

1st Serve In %

60.8%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

64.4%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.5%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.9%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.4%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.38

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.38

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

63.3%

70.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.7%

51.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

43.0%

48.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

34.4%

37.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

41.0%

50.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.39

0.14

Double Faults per Service Game

0.32

0.25

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Ryan Nijboer Alejandro Juan Mano

Break Points Saved %

68.6%

—

Break Points Converted %

47.4%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

51.5%

45.2%

Break Points Converted %

44.3%

33.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Ryan Nijboer 0 – 0 Alejandro Juan Mano

Clay Genoa 2 challenger · 2026-09-21

qualification - round of 16

Alejandro Juan Mano #625

Ryan Nijboer #415

4-6 6-3 6-4

3 Aces 1

5 Double Faults 3

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

29 First Serve Won 50

22 Second Serve Won 4

7 Break Points Saved 6

13 Break Points Faced 11

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.9 Average Odds 1.4

Ryan Nijboer vs Alejandro Juan Mano — Prediction