ATP tennis predict — Rudolf Molleker vs Maxim Mrva

Challenger Clay Hagen challenger · 1. round

Predicted probability

Rudolf Molleker

Germany

36.40%

Maxim Mrva

Czech Republic

63.60%

Average Odds

2.44 / 1.51

Market probability

38.23% / 61.77%

Why This Prediction?

Maxim Mrva is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1640 vs 1539), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1635 vs 1577) and a stronger return game (45.0% vs 39.2% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1539.4 Elo 1640.1

1577.0 Elo (surface) 1634.9

139 Wins (Challenger) 44

111 Wins (surface) 29

9 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 1

1.086 Dominance ratio 1.173

488 Rank 317

25.8 Age 19.0

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Rudolf Molleker

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-07-05.

Maxim Mrva

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 12W–3L · 80.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

28 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Rudolf Molleker Maxim Mrva

1st Serve In %

58.0%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

72.0%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.8%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.8%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.6%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.70

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

56.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.2%

61.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.6%

48.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.0%

40.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.5%

48.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.55

0.20

Double Faults per Service Game

0.20

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Rudolf Molleker Maxim Mrva

Break Points Saved %

53.2%

—

Break Points Converted %

46.2%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

49.2%

47.9%

Break Points Converted %

29.8%

48.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Rudolf Molleker 0 – 1 Maxim Mrva

Clay Hagen challenger · 2026-08-04

1. round

Maxim Mrva #317

Rudolf Molleker #488

6-3 6-3

3 Aces 6

6 Double Faults 5

63 Service Points 46

42 First Serve In 27

29 First Serve Won 21

5 Second Serve Won 11

5 Break Points Saved 0

9 Break Points Faced 1

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.5 Average Odds 2.4

Clay Poznan CH · 2025-06-16

R32

Maxim Mrva #558

Rudolf Molleker #363

6-3 6-2

9 Aces 0

3 Double Faults 1

55 Service Points 51

34 First Serve In 27

26 First Serve Won 16

11 Second Serve Won 10

2 Break Points Saved 4

3 Break Points Faced 8

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Rudolf Molleker vs Maxim Mrva — Prediction