ATP tennis predict — Rudolf Molleker vs Elmer Moller

Challenger Clay Hamburg challenger · 1. round 13:30

Predicted probability

Rudolf Molleker

Germany

29.24%

Elmer Moller

Denmark

70.76%

Average Odds

3.11 / 1.33

Market probability

29.95% / 70.05%

Why This Prediction?

Elmer Moller is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1700 vs 1531), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1719 vs 1566) and a stronger return game (48.6% vs 38.7% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1530.8 Elo 1700.0

1565.5 Elo (surface) 1718.9

139 Wins (Challenger) 89

111 Wins (surface) 75

8 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.062 Dominance ratio 1.168

488 Rank 184

25.8 Age 23.1

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Rudolf Molleker

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-07-05.

Elmer Moller

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–5L · 54.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-06-23.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Rudolf Molleker Elmer Moller

1st Serve In %

58.0%

59.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.0%

67.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.8%

47.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.8%

32.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.6%

53.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.70

0.21

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

0.36

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

56.4%

59.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.2%

69.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.6%

45.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.0%

37.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.5%

53.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.55

0.31

Double Faults per Service Game

0.20

0.33

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Rudolf Molleker Elmer Moller

Break Points Saved %

53.2%

63.2%

Break Points Converted %

46.2%

29.5%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

49.2%

57.8%

Break Points Converted %

29.8%

52.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Rudolf Molleker 0 – 0 Elmer Moller

Clay Hamburg challenger · 2026-08-11

1. round

Rudolf Molleker #488

Elmer Moller #184

6-1 6-3

7 Aces 4

1 Double Faults 2

49 Service Points 51

31 First Serve In 37

26 First Serve Won 22

11 Second Serve Won 5

1 Break Points Saved 3

1 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

3.1 Average Odds 1.3

Rudolf Molleker vs Elmer Moller — Prediction