ATP tennis predict — Roman Safiullin vs Sebastian Ofner

Challenger Hard Cancun challenger · 1. round 23:00

Predicted probability

Roman Safiullin

Russia

58.60%

Sebastian Ofner

Austria

41.40%

Average Odds

1.53 / 2.32

Market probability

60.26% / 39.74%

Why This Prediction?

Roman Safiullin is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1765 vs 1666), a stronger serve (71.9% vs 61.7% of service points won) and a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1686 vs 1681).

Player Comparison

1765.3 Elo 1665.9

1686.4 Elo (surface) 1680.6

149 Wins (Challenger) 182

99 Wins (surface) 77

13 Last 15 form 10

1 Head-to-head wins 1

1.069 Dominance ratio 0.969

103 Rank 127

29.0 Age 30.3

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Roman Safiullin

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Sebastian Ofner

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–6L · 14.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Roman Safiullin Sebastian Ofner

1st Serve In %

65.5%

58.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.2%

72.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

57.8%

45.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.9%

25.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.3%

50.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.61

0.47

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26

0.33

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

67.0%

56.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.6%

69.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

55.0%

46.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.4%

31.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.4%

40.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.48

0.28

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27

0.38

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Roman Safiullin Sebastian Ofner

Break Points Saved %

67.6%

62.3%

Break Points Converted %

38.5%

40.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

71.0%

55.4%

Break Points Converted %

56.0%

34.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Roman Safiullin 1 – 1 Sebastian Ofner

Hard Cancun challenger · 2026-08-18

1. round

Roman Safiullin #103

Sebastian Ofner #127

6-3 6-4

3 Aces 5

1 Double Faults 5

72 Service Points 55

42 First Serve In 28

27 First Serve Won 19

22 Second Serve Won 11

9 Break Points Saved 5

10 Break Points Faced 8

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.5 Average Odds 2.3

Clay Madrid Masters · 2023-04-24

Q2

Roman Safiullin #112

Sebastian Ofner #130

6-4 7-6(4)

5 Aces 8

5 Double Faults 1

73 Service Points 64

49 First Serve In 41

38 First Serve Won 33

11 Second Serve Won 9

1 Break Points Saved 1

2 Break Points Faced 3

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Hard Hamburg CH · 2020-10-26

QF

Sebastian Ofner #171

Roman Safiullin #184

7-6(4) 4-6 6-4

7 Aces 7

3 Double Faults 5

92 Service Points 116

59 First Serve In 82

40 First Serve Won 54

21 Second Serve Won 16

2 Break Points Saved 6

5 Break Points Faced 9

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Roman Safiullin vs Sebastian Ofner — Prediction

Why This Prediction?

Player Comparison

Performance vs. the Odds

Serve & Return

Break Point Performance

Head-to-Head

Roman Safiullin — Last 10

Sebastian Ofner — Last 10