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Roman Safiullin vs Hugo Grenier — Prediction

ATP Hard Winston Salem · 1. round 23:00

Predicted probability

Roman Safiullin

Russia

58.31%

Hugo Grenier

France

41.69%

Average Odds

1.25  /  3.83

Market probability

75.39%  /  24.61%

Why This Prediction?

Roman Safiullin is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1773 vs 1636), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1705 vs 1642) and a stronger serve (71.9% vs 62.1% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1772.9 Elo 1635.6
1705.2 Elo (surface) 1642.2
102 Wins 49
62 Wins (surface) 33
9 Last 15 form 7
1 Head-to-head wins 2
1.219 Dominance ratio 1.020
103 Rank 258
29.0 Age 30.4
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Roman Safiullin

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–2L · 50.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–0L · 100.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–1L · 66.7%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Hugo Grenier

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–2L · 33.3%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

12 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Roman Safiullin Hugo Grenier

1st Serve In %

65.5%
63.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.2%
69.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

57.8%
47.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.9%
29.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.3%
52.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.61
0.45

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26
0.27

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

67.0%
58.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.6%
77.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

55.0%
48.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.4%
35.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.4%
50.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.48
0.35

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27
0.39

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Roman Safiullin Hugo Grenier

Break Points Saved %

67.6%
63.5%

Break Points Converted %

38.5%
38.7%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

71.0%
60.4%

Break Points Converted %

56.0%
41.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Roman Safiullin 1 – 2 Hugo Grenier

Hard Winston Salem · 2026-08-25

1. round

Hugo Grenier #255

Roman Safiullin #98

7-6 4-6 6-3
5 Aces 14
4 Double Faults 7
103 Service Points 96
63 First Serve In 53
43 First Serve Won 40
21 Second Serve Won 28
6 Break Points Saved 1
9 Break Points Faced 4
34 Winners 24
59 Unforced Errors 36
3.8 Average Odds 1.2
Hard Tel Aviv · 2022-09-26

R32

Roman Safiullin #104

Hugo Grenier #97

3-6 6-4 6-2
10 Aces 7
7 Double Faults 3
90 Service Points 78
60 First Serve In 53
46 First Serve Won 38
13 Second Serve Won 11
7 Break Points Saved 3
9 Break Points Faced 6
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -
Clay Prague CH · 2020-08-24

R64

Hugo Grenier #242

Roman Safiullin #175

6-4 7-6(4)
0 Aces 1
3 Double Faults 7
79 Service Points 83
61 First Serve In 51
40 First Serve Won 31
10 Second Serve Won 18
8 Break Points Saved 7
10 Break Points Faced 10
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -
Hard Bangkok CH · 2020-01-20

QF

Hugo Grenier #268

Roman Safiullin #226

2-6 6-4 6-3
5 Aces 3
4 Double Faults 3
87 Service Points 87
53 First Serve In 58
35 First Serve Won 40
20 Second Serve Won 15
8 Break Points Saved 7
11 Break Points Faced 10
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -

Roman Safiullin — Last 10

L L W L W L W W W W

Hugo Grenier — Last 10

L W W L L L W L W L