ATP tennis predict — Roman Safiullin vs Flavio Cobolli

ATP Hard Beijing · 1. round 04:00

Predicted probability

Roman Safiullin

Russia

40.96%

Flavio Cobolli

Italy

59.04%

Average Odds

2.02 / 1.77

Market probability

46.70% / 53.30%

Why This Prediction?

Flavio Cobolli is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1913 vs 1835), a higher Elo rating (2050 vs 1945) and a better head-to-head record against Roman Safiullin (1-0).

Player Comparison

1944.9 Elo 2050.2

1834.7 Elo (surface) 1913.3

105 Wins 136

65 Wins (surface) 69

9 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 1

1.185 Dominance ratio 0.930

84 Rank 7

29.1 Age 24.4

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Roman Safiullin

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Flavio Cobolli

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–3L · 62.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

23 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Roman Safiullin Flavio Cobolli

1st Serve In %

65.4%

58.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.1%

69.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

57.7%

47.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.8%

28.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.0%

45.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.62

0.43

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22

0.25

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

67.0%

52.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.6%

67.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

55.0%

51.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.4%

30.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.4%

48.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.48

0.45

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27

0.30

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Roman Safiullin Flavio Cobolli

Break Points Saved %

66.2%

59.6%

Break Points Converted %

39.2%

38.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

71.0%

67.5%

Break Points Converted %

56.0%

32.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Roman Safiullin 0 – 1 Flavio Cobolli

Hard Us Open · 2022-08-29

Q1

Flavio Cobolli #152

Roman Safiullin #101

6-4 6-4

5 Aces 4

2 Double Faults 3

64 Service Points 58

31 First Serve In 35

23 First Serve Won 25

20 Second Serve Won 10

3 Break Points Saved 3

4 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Roman Safiullin vs Flavio Cobolli — Prediction