ATP tennis predict — Roman Safiullin vs Bu Yunchaokete

ATP Hard Hangzhou · QF 10:30

Predicted probability

Roman Safiullin

Russia

43.55%

Bu Yunchaokete

China

56.45%

Average Odds

1.89 / 1.90

Market probability

50.13% / 49.87%

Why This Prediction?

Bu Yunchaokete is the favorite because he has the advantage of playing in his home country.

Player Comparison

1942.0 Elo 1908.0

1826.9 Elo (surface) 1832.2

104 Wins 40

64 Wins (surface) 35

9 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.185 Dominance ratio 1.138

102 Rank 111

29.1 Age 24.7

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Roman Safiullin

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Bu Yunchaokete

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Roman Safiullin Bu Yunchaokete

1st Serve In %

65.0%

60.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.3%

76.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

57.9%

45.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.7%

24.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.1%

50.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.56

0.71

Double Faults per Service Game

0.25

0.20

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

67.0%

60.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.6%

70.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

55.0%

43.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.4%

24.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.4%

40.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.48

0.44

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27

0.30

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Roman Safiullin Bu Yunchaokete

Break Points Saved %

64.3%

50.9%

Break Points Converted %

37.9%

44.4%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

71.0%

38.6%

Break Points Converted %

56.0%

18.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Roman Safiullin and Bu Yunchaokete have never played each other.

Roman Safiullin vs Bu Yunchaokete — Prediction