ATP tennis predict — Roman Safiullin vs Alexis Galarneau

ATP Hard Shanghai · qualification - 1. round 06:10

Predicted probability

Roman Safiullin

Russia

79.30%

Alexis Galarneau

Canada

20.70%

Average Odds

1.15 / 5.13

Market probability

81.69% / 18.31%

Why This Prediction?

Roman Safiullin is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1950 vs 1735), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1841 vs 1688) and a stronger serve (69.4% vs 59.8% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1950.2 Elo 1734.7

1841.0 Elo (surface) 1687.5

106 Wins 17

66 Wins (surface) 11

10 Last 15 form 8

1 Head-to-head wins 1

1.185 Dominance ratio 0.936

84 Rank 180

29.2 Age 27.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Roman Safiullin

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Alexis Galarneau

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–2L · 77.8%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–7L · 22.2%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

26 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Roman Safiullin Alexis Galarneau

1st Serve In %

66.0%

62.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.9%

68.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

59.0%

49.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

34.9%

26.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.6%

48.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.68

0.65

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18

0.20

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

67.0%

55.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.6%

71.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

55.0%

48.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.4%

21.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.4%

44.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.48

0.53

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27

0.24

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Roman Safiullin Alexis Galarneau

Break Points Saved %

68.2%

65.8%

Break Points Converted %

38.5%

32.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

71.0%

49.3%

Break Points Converted %

56.0%

42.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Roman Safiullin 1 – 1 Alexis Galarneau

Grass Stuttgart · 2026-06-07

qualification - quarterfinal

Alexis Galarneau #187

Roman Safiullin #135

6-4 6-7 7-6

11 Aces 15

1 Double Faults 5

105 Service Points 94

71 First Serve In 59

56 First Serve Won 53

18 Second Serve Won 19

3 Break Points Saved 0

5 Break Points Faced 1

30 Winners 38

32 Unforced Errors 29

3.6 Average Odds 1.3

Hard Saint-Brieuc CH · 2022-03-28

R32

Roman Safiullin #143

Alexis Galarneau #353

7-6(5) 7-6(2)

11 Aces 5

3 Double Faults 0

79 Service Points 79

54 First Serve In 48

41 First Serve Won 37

15 Second Serve Won 16

3 Break Points Saved 4

5 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Roman Safiullin vs Alexis Galarneau — Prediction