ATP tennis predict — Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Stan Wawrinka

ATP Clay Estoril · 1. round

Predicted probability

Roman Andres Burruchaga

Argentina

61.82%

Stan Wawrinka

Switzerland

38.18%

Average Odds

1.44 / 2.79

Market probability

65.96% / 34.04%

Why This Prediction?

Roman Andres Burruchaga is the favorite because he has a stronger return game (44.2% vs 36.2% of return points won) and a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1676 vs 1635).

Player Comparison

1652.2 Elo 1699.4

1675.7 Elo (surface) 1634.6

36 Wins 601

28 Wins (surface) 207

8 Last 15 form 5

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.879 Dominance ratio 1.049

60 Rank 118

24.5 Age 41.3

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Roman Andres Burruchaga

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Stan Wawrinka

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

7 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Roman Andres Burruchaga Stan Wawrinka

1st Serve In %

57.4%

59.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.0%

76.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.5%

52.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.3%

26.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.5%

48.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.38

0.67

Double Faults per Service Game

0.28

0.21

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.8%

56.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.7%

75.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.1%

56.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.9%

27.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.6%

44.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.10

0.47

Double Faults per Service Game

0.42

0.18

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Roman Andres Burruchaga Stan Wawrinka

Break Points Saved %

54.4%

55.4%

Break Points Converted %

50.0%

32.9%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

63.7%

67.6%

Break Points Converted %

37.5%

34.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Roman Andres Burruchaga 0 – 0 Stan Wawrinka

Clay Estoril · 2026-07-21

1. round

Roman Andres Burruchaga #60

Stan Wawrinka #118

6-4 4-6 6-3

4 Aces 3

3 Double Faults 4

116 Service Points 99

61 First Serve In 59

36 First Serve Won 38

23 Second Serve Won 16

10 Break Points Saved 7

17 Break Points Faced 12

25 Winners 22

65 Unforced Errors 54

1.4 Average Odds 2.8

Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Stan Wawrinka — Prediction