ATP tennis predict — Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Nuno Borges

ATP Clay Estoril · R16

Predicted probability

Roman Andres Burruchaga

Argentina

30.00%

Nuno Borges

Portugal

70.00%

Average Odds

2.98 / 1.38

Market probability

31.65% / 68.35%

Why This Prediction?

Nuno Borges is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1779 vs 1687), a higher Elo rating (1782 vs 1666) and a stronger serve (68.2% vs 56.0% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1666.0 Elo 1782.4

1687.1 Elo (surface) 1778.7

37 Wins 105

29 Wins (surface) 37

9 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.895 Dominance ratio 1.218

60 Rank 48

24.5 Age 29.4

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Roman Andres Burruchaga

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Nuno Borges

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 11W–3L · 78.6%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Roman Andres Burruchaga Nuno Borges

1st Serve In %

57.4%

58.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.0%

78.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.5%

50.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.3%

27.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.5%

50.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.38

0.66

Double Faults per Service Game

0.28

0.20

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.8%

59.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.7%

72.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.1%

49.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.9%

30.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.6%

50.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.10

0.49

Double Faults per Service Game

0.42

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Roman Andres Burruchaga Nuno Borges

Break Points Saved %

54.4%

56.1%

Break Points Converted %

50.0%

31.2%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

63.7%

66.2%

Break Points Converted %

37.5%

42.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Roman Andres Burruchaga 0 – 0 Nuno Borges

Clay Estoril · 2026-07-22

R16

Roman Andres Burruchaga #60

Nuno Borges #48

6-1 4-6 6-3

2 Aces 4

4 Double Faults 1

97 Service Points 83

60 First Serve In 49

40 First Serve Won 35

15 Second Serve Won 18

6 Break Points Saved 3

11 Break Points Faced 5

26 Winners 26

61 Unforced Errors 34

3.0 Average Odds 1.4

Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Nuno Borges — Prediction