ATP tennis predict — Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Jan Lennard Struff

ATP Hard Cincinnati · 1. round 20:00

Predicted probability

Roman Andres Burruchaga

Argentina

38.19%

Jan Lennard Struff

Germany

61.81%

Average Odds

1.98 / 1.81

Market probability

47.76% / 52.24%

Why This Prediction?

Jan Lennard Struff is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1656 vs 1501), a higher Elo rating (1712 vs 1658) and more wins on hard courts (174 vs 5).

Player Comparison

1658.1 Elo 1712.4

1500.6 Elo (surface) 1656.3

38 Wins 328

5 Wins (surface) 174

7 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 1

0.934 Dominance ratio 1.039

56 Rank 41

24.6 Age 36.3

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Roman Andres Burruchaga

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Jan Lennard Struff

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–6L · 40.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Roman Andres Burruchaga Jan Lennard Struff

1st Serve In %

57.4%

57.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.0%

76.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.5%

45.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.3%

24.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.5%

49.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.38

0.79

Double Faults per Service Game

0.28

0.32

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.8%

58.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.7%

73.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.1%

53.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.9%

26.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.6%

53.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.10

0.58

Double Faults per Service Game

0.42

0.25

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Roman Andres Burruchaga Jan Lennard Struff

Break Points Saved %

54.4%

56.3%

Break Points Converted %

50.0%

47.1%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

63.7%

56.4%

Break Points Converted %

37.5%

37.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Roman Andres Burruchaga 0 – 1 Jan Lennard Struff

Hard Cincinnati · 2026-08-13

1. round

Jan Lennard Struff #41

Roman Andres Burruchaga #56

7-6 2-6 6-3

12 Aces 16

4 Double Faults 8

90 Service Points 113

62 First Serve In 61

45 First Serve Won 46

13 Second Serve Won 23

5 Break Points Saved 7

7 Break Points Faced 10

31 Winners 34

39 Unforced Errors 52

1.8 Average Odds 2.0

Clay Roland Garros · 2024-05-27

R128

Jan Lennard Struff #41

Roman Andres Burruchaga #144

6-3 6-2 6-1

9 Aces 0

2 Double Faults 4

70 Service Points 83

38 First Serve In 57

31 First Serve Won 31

20 Second Serve Won 9

1 Break Points Saved 10

1 Break Points Faced 16

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Jan Lennard Struff — Prediction