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Roger Pascual Ferra vs Andres Martin — Prediction

Challenger Hard Bloomfield Hills challenger · R16

Predicted probability

Average Odds

2.01  /  1.74

Market probability

46.40%  /  53.60%

Why This Prediction?

Andres Martin is the favorite because he has more wins on hard courts (48 vs 3), a higher Elo rating (1543 vs 1534) and more career match wins (56 vs 3).

Player Comparison

1533.9 Elo 1543.2
1537.9 Elo (surface) 1549.9
3 Wins (Challenger) 56
3 Wins (surface) 48
3 Last 15 form 5
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.986 Dominance ratio 0.911
808 Rank 322
20.4 Age 25.0
left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Roger Pascual Ferra

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

No market odds recorded for this player yet.

Andres Martin

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–4L · 50.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–3L · 40.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Roger Pascual Ferra Andres Martin

1st Serve In %

56.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

41.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.35

Double Faults per Service Game

0.28

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

65.5%
60.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.4%
68.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

42.9%
44.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.9%
33.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.0%
50.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.04
0.25

Double Faults per Service Game

0.33
0.22

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Roger Pascual Ferra Andres Martin

Break Points Saved %

56.0%

Break Points Converted %

32.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

65.3%
52.0%

Break Points Converted %

55.9%
40.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Roger Pascual Ferra and Andres Martin have never played each other.

Roger Pascual Ferra — Last 5

L W W W L

Andres Martin — Last 10

L L W W L W L W W W