ATP tennis predict — Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez vs Tomas Barrios Vera

Challenger Hard Cancun challenger · 1. round 23:30

Predicted probability

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez

Mexico

50.22%

Tomas Barrios Vera

Chile

49.78%

Average Odds

1.60 / 2.04

Market probability

56.04% / 43.96%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1592.1 Elo 1664.3

1557.0 Elo (surface) 1582.5

55 Wins (Challenger) 249

25 Wins (surface) 39

10 Last 15 form 5

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.134 Dominance ratio 1.055

292 Rank 147

21.3 Age 28.7

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 6W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-06-30.

Tomas Barrios Vera

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

13 matches with market odds since 2026-06-08.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez Tomas Barrios Vera

1st Serve In %

58.8%

65.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.0%

64.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.5%

49.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.4%

27.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.6%

41.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.33

0.31

Double Faults per Service Game

0.47

0.15

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

67.2%

63.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.7%

64.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.8%

54.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

22.3%

36.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

43.8%

46.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.60

0.26

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31

0.13

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez Tomas Barrios Vera

Break Points Saved %

62.7%

60.5%

Break Points Converted %

45.5%

35.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

71.0%

62.3%

Break Points Converted %

43.1%

42.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez 0 – 0 Tomas Barrios Vera

Hard Cancun challenger · 2026-08-20

1. round

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez #292

Tomas Barrios Vera #147

7-6 6-2

5 Aces 2

2 Double Faults 1

77 Service Points 62

46 First Serve In 40

32 First Serve Won 27

20 Second Serve Won 11

5 Break Points Saved 3

6 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.6 Average Odds 2.0

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez vs Tomas Barrios Vera — Prediction