ATP tennis predict — Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez vs Sergio Callejon Hernando

Challenger Hard Phan Thiet 4 challenger · 1. round 06:35

Predicted probability

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez

Mexico

72.70%

Sergio Callejon Hernando

Spain

27.30%

Average Odds

1.21 / 4.09

Market probability

77.17% / 22.83%

Why This Prediction?

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1697 vs 1488), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1671 vs 1514) and a stronger serve (63.5% vs 60.0% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1697.1 Elo 1488.1

1671.3 Elo (surface) 1514.4

59 Wins (Challenger) 17

29 Wins (surface) 11

9 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.907 Dominance ratio 1.030

272 Rank 485

21.4 Age 22.0

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 6W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-06-30.

Sergio Callejon Hernando

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

11 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez Sergio Callejon Hernando

1st Serve In %

58.8%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

65.0%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.5%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.4%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.6%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.33

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.47

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

67.2%

64.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.7%

65.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.8%

51.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

22.3%

40.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

43.8%

46.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.60

0.30

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31

0.25

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez Sergio Callejon Hernando

Break Points Saved %

62.7%

—

Break Points Converted %

45.5%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

71.0%

53.0%

Break Points Converted %

43.1%

50.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez 0 – 0 Sergio Callejon Hernando

Hard Phan Thiet 4 challenger · 2026-09-14

1. round

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez #269

Sergio Callejon Hernando #486

6-3 7-5

11 Aces 1

6 Double Faults 0

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

28 First Serve Won 28

16 Second Serve Won 9

6 Break Points Saved 2

7 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.2 Average Odds 4.1

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez vs Sergio Callejon Hernando — Prediction