ATP tennis predict — Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez vs Roger Pascual Ferra

Challenger Hard Lexington challenger · qualification - 1. round

Predicted probability

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez

Mexico

72.98%

Roger Pascual Ferra

Spain

27.02%

Average Odds

1.46 / 2.53

Market probability

63.41% / 36.59%

Why This Prediction?

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez is the favorite because he has more career match wins (54 vs 3), a stronger serve (66.0% vs 57.6% of service points won) and a higher Elo rating (1593 vs 1534).

Player Comparison

1593.4 Elo 1533.9

1555.6 Elo (surface) 1537.9

54 Wins (Challenger) 3

24 Wins (surface) 3

10 Last 15 form 3

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.095 Dominance ratio 0.986

320 Rank 729

21.3 Age 20.4

left Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 6W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-06-30.

Roger Pascual Ferra

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

No market odds recorded for this player yet.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez Roger Pascual Ferra

1st Serve In %

58.8%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

65.0%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.5%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.4%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.6%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.33

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.47

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

67.2%

65.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.7%

65.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.8%

42.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

22.3%

33.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

43.8%

52.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.60

0.04

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31

0.33

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez Roger Pascual Ferra

Break Points Saved %

62.7%

—

Break Points Converted %

45.5%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

71.0%

65.3%

Break Points Converted %

43.1%

55.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez and Roger Pascual Ferra have never played each other.

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez vs Roger Pascual Ferra — Prediction