ATP tennis predict — Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez vs Philip Sekulic

Challenger Hard Phan Thiet 4 challenger · QF 06:55

Predicted probability

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez

Mexico

59.61%

Philip Sekulic

Australia

40.39%

Average Odds

1.28 / 3.48

Market probability

73.11% / 26.89%

Why This Prediction?

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1697 vs 1603), a higher Elo rating (1714 vs 1608) and fewer double faults per game (0.12 vs 0.21).

Player Comparison

1714.3 Elo 1608.0

1697.0 Elo (surface) 1603.2

61 Wins (Challenger) 71

31 Wins (surface) 71

9 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.907 Dominance ratio 1.179

269 Rank 348

21.4 Age 23.0

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 6W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-06-30.

Philip Sekulic

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–6L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-07-01.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez Philip Sekulic

1st Serve In %

58.8%

62.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.0%

69.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.5%

50.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.4%

30.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.6%

44.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.33

0.38

Double Faults per Service Game

0.47

0.17

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

67.2%

60.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.7%

68.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.8%

46.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

22.3%

34.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

43.8%

61.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.60

0.58

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31

0.38

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez Philip Sekulic

Break Points Saved %

62.7%

56.2%

Break Points Converted %

45.5%

27.4%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

71.0%

46.3%

Break Points Converted %

43.1%

46.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez 0 – 0 Philip Sekulic

Hard Phan Thiet 4 challenger · 2026-09-18

QF

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez #269

Philip Sekulic #348

6-4 6-4

10 Aces 5

1 Double Faults 4

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

34 First Serve Won 27

13 Second Serve Won 11

7 Break Points Saved 1

7 Break Points Faced 3

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.3 Average Odds 3.5

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez vs Philip Sekulic — Prediction