ATP tennis predict — Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez vs Juan Estevez

Challenger Clay Santa Cruz De La Sierra challenger · 1. round 16:00

Predicted probability

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez

Mexico

68.72%

Juan Estevez

Argentina

31.28%

Average Odds

1.04 / 1.04

Market probability

50.00% / 50.00%

Why This Prediction?

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1729 vs 1479), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1596 vs 1484) and a stronger serve (63.5% vs 60.4% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1728.8 Elo 1479.2

1596.2 Elo (surface) 1484.3

63 Wins (Challenger) 17

30 Wins (surface) 17

9 Last 15 form 6

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.907 Dominance ratio 1.110

266 Rank 360

21.5 Age 21.0

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 6W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-06-30.

Juan Estevez

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

8 matches with market odds since 2026-06-20.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez Juan Estevez

1st Serve In %

58.8%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

65.0%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.5%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.4%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.6%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.33

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.47

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

67.2%

69.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.7%

64.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.8%

45.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

22.3%

35.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

43.8%

50.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.60

0.12

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31

0.16

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez Juan Estevez

Break Points Saved %

62.7%

—

Break Points Converted %

45.5%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

71.0%

44.0%

Break Points Converted %

43.1%

33.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez and Juan Estevez have never played each other.

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez vs Juan Estevez — Prediction