ATP tennis predict — Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez vs Hugo Dellien

Challenger Clay Santa Cruz De La Sierra challenger · R16 16:00

Predicted probability

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez

Mexico

29.02%

Hugo Dellien

Bolivia

70.98%

Average Odds

2.00 / 1.70

Market probability

45.95% / 54.05%

Why This Prediction?

Hugo Dellien is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1801 vs 1596), more wins on clay courts (263 vs 30) and a higher Elo rating (1771 vs 1729).

Player Comparison

1728.8 Elo 1770.5

1596.2 Elo (surface) 1801.1

63 Wins (Challenger) 264

30 Wins (surface) 263

9 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.907 Dominance ratio 0.890

266 Rank 128

21.5 Age 33.3

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 6W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-06-30.

Hugo Dellien

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 11W–5L · 68.8%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

29 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez Hugo Dellien

1st Serve In %

58.8%

66.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.0%

65.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.5%

50.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.4%

31.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.6%

47.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.33

0.34

Double Faults per Service Game

0.47

0.18

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

67.2%

65.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.7%

60.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.8%

44.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

22.3%

32.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

43.8%

52.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.60

0.22

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31

0.19

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez Hugo Dellien

Break Points Saved %

62.7%

53.8%

Break Points Converted %

45.5%

40.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

71.0%

43.1%

Break Points Converted %

43.1%

37.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez and Hugo Dellien have never played each other.

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez vs Hugo Dellien — Prediction