ATP tennis predict — Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez vs Arthur Weber

Challenger Hard Phan Thiet 4 challenger · R16 05:05

Predicted probability

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez

Mexico

73.83%

Arthur Weber

France

26.17%

Average Odds

1.37 / 2.90

Market probability

67.92% / 32.08%

Why This Prediction?

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1705 vs 1559), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1683 vs 1561) and a stronger serve (63.5% vs 56.5% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1704.6 Elo 1558.7

1683.3 Elo (surface) 1561.5

60 Wins (Challenger) 29

30 Wins (surface) 28

9 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.907 Dominance ratio 0.853

269 Rank 384

21.4 Age 34.4

left Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 6W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-06-30.

Arthur Weber

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

9 matches with market odds since 2026-08-04.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez Arthur Weber

1st Serve In %

58.8%

67.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.0%

65.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.5%

49.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.4%

30.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.6%

49.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.33

0.23

Double Faults per Service Game

0.47

0.18

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

67.2%

63.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.7%

55.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.8%

40.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

22.3%

25.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

43.8%

35.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.60

0.30

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31

0.37

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez Arthur Weber

Break Points Saved %

62.7%

60.0%

Break Points Converted %

45.5%

37.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

71.0%

53.9%

Break Points Converted %

43.1%

42.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez 0 – 0 Arthur Weber

Hard Phan Thiet 4 challenger · 2026-09-16

R16

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez #269

Arthur Weber #384

6-4 6-2

4 Aces 1

3 Double Faults 5

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

28 First Serve Won 15

14 Second Serve Won 16

5 Break Points Saved 3

6 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.4 Average Odds 2.9

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez vs Arthur Weber — Prediction