ATP tennis predict — Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez vs Andres Andrade

Challenger Hard Kingston 2 challenger · SF 22:00

Predicted probability

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez

Mexico

52.72%

Andres Andrade

Ecuador

47.28%

Average Odds

1.51 / 2.42

Market probability

61.58% / 38.42%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1636.3 Elo 1617.2

1604.3 Elo (surface) 1626.1

59 Wins (Challenger) 74

29 Wins (surface) 39

10 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.857 Dominance ratio 0.803

294 Rank 243

21.3 Age 27.7

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 6W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-06-30.

Andres Andrade

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 5W–2L · 71.4%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-06-03.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez Andres Andrade

1st Serve In %

58.8%

62.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.0%

70.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.5%

50.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.4%

32.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.6%

54.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.33

0.31

Double Faults per Service Game

0.47

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

67.2%

57.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.7%

63.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.8%

46.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

22.3%

26.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

43.8%

49.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.60

0.25

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31

0.34

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez Andres Andrade

Break Points Saved %

62.7%

80.0%

Break Points Converted %

45.5%

55.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

71.0%

45.6%

Break Points Converted %

43.1%

35.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez 0 – 0 Andres Andrade

Hard Kingston 2 challenger · 2026-08-28

SF

Andres Andrade #243

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez #294

6-3 3-6 6-4

5 Aces 6

3 Double Faults 1

99 Service Points 77

64 First Serve In 48

42 First Serve Won 35

17 Second Serve Won 18

7 Break Points Saved 3

10 Break Points Faced 5

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.4 Average Odds 1.5

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez vs Andres Andrade — Prediction