ATP tennis predict — Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez vs Aidan Mayo

Challenger Hard Lexington challenger · qualification - round of 16

Predicted probability

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez

Mexico

52.48%

Aidan Mayo

USA

47.52%

Average Odds

1.68 / 2.08

Market probability

55.32% / 44.68%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1610.8 Elo 1566.6

1579.6 Elo (surface) 1562.1

55 Wins (Challenger) 83

25 Wins (surface) 70

10 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.144 Dominance ratio 0.954

320 Rank 689

21.3 Age 23.2

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 6W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-06-30.

Aidan Mayo

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–2L · 71.4%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–6L · 45.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

30 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez Aidan Mayo

1st Serve In %

58.8%

55.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.0%

71.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.5%

47.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.4%

28.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.6%

46.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.33

0.32

Double Faults per Service Game

0.47

0.34

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

67.2%

60.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.7%

71.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.8%

53.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

22.3%

34.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

43.8%

54.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.60

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31

0.26

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez Aidan Mayo

Break Points Saved %

62.7%

61.8%

Break Points Converted %

45.5%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

71.0%

69.4%

Break Points Converted %

43.1%

47.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez 0 – 0 Aidan Mayo

Hard Lexington challenger · 2026-08-03

qualification - round of 16

Aidan Mayo #625

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez #293

6-4 7-6

1 Aces 7

3 Double Faults 3

86 Service Points 79

55 First Serve In 47

40 First Serve Won 40

16 Second Serve Won 18

9 Break Points Saved 4

10 Break Points Faced 4

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.1 Average Odds 1.7

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez vs Aidan Mayo — Prediction