ATP tennis predict — Robin Bertrand vs Mark Lajal

Challenger Hard Cassis challenger · QF 12:00

Predicted probability

Robin Bertrand

France

17.80%

Mark Lajal

Estonia

82.20%

Average Odds

4.08 / 1.21

Market probability

22.87% / 77.13%

Why This Prediction?

Mark Lajal is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1821 vs 1507), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1796 vs 1554) and a stronger serve (65.5% vs 53.5% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1507.0 Elo 1821.0

1554.0 Elo (surface) 1796.4

48 Wins (Challenger) 140

47 Wins (surface) 126

6 Last 15 form 12

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.916 Dominance ratio 1.039

409 Rank 152

23.5 Age 23.3

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Robin Bertrand

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

9 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Mark Lajal

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 11W–3L · 78.6%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 10W–3L · 76.9%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

37 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Robin Bertrand Mark Lajal

1st Serve In %

61.8%

61.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.0%

70.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

41.0%

54.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.2%

25.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.7%

53.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.19

0.48

Double Faults per Service Game

0.57

0.29

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

63.6%

58.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

62.5%

61.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.3%

44.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.9%

27.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.3%

57.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.14

0.44

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27

0.43

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Robin Bertrand Mark Lajal

Break Points Saved %

63.4%

62.7%

Break Points Converted %

33.3%

41.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

52.7%

55.4%

Break Points Converted %

47.0%

35.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Robin Bertrand 0 – 0 Mark Lajal

Hard Cassis challenger · 2026-09-11

QF

Mark Lajal #152

Robin Bertrand #409

6-3 6-0

3 Aces 5

6 Double Faults 1

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

14 First Serve Won 21

6 Second Serve Won 10

3 Break Points Saved 0

8 Break Points Faced 1

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.2 Average Odds 4.1

Robin Bertrand vs Mark Lajal — Prediction