ATP tennis predict — Roberto Carballes Baena vs William Rejchtman Vinciguerra

Challenger Clay Porto 2 challenger · qualification - 1. round 12:30

Predicted probability

Roberto Carballes Baena

Spain

86.54%

William Rejchtman Vinciguerra

Sweden

13.46%

Average Odds

1.06 / 7.02

Market probability

86.88% / 13.12%

Why This Prediction?

Roberto Carballes Baena is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1675 vs 1359), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1742 vs 1380) and more wins on clay courts (251 vs 2).

Player Comparison

1674.7 Elo 1359.1

1742.1 Elo (surface) 1379.7

268 Wins (Challenger) 2

251 Wins (surface) 2

8 Last 15 form 2

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.869 Dominance ratio 1.182

209 Rank 879

33.4 Age None

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Roberto Carballes Baena

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–2L · 71.4%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

William Rejchtman Vinciguerra

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–5L · 16.7%

10 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Roberto Carballes Baena William Rejchtman Vinciguerra

1st Serve In %

62.3%

62.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.8%

69.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.4%

58.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

55.5%

38.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.46

0.37

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29

0.22

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.9%

56.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.3%

67.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.6%

52.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.4%

31.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.5%

48.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.28

0.41

Double Faults per Service Game

0.20

0.45

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Roberto Carballes Baena William Rejchtman Vinciguerra

Break Points Saved %

59.2%

61.9%

Break Points Converted %

34.2%

28.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

55.6%

39.1%

Break Points Converted %

55.0%

38.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Roberto Carballes Baena 0 – 0 William Rejchtman Vinciguerra

Clay Porto 2 challenger · 2026-08-30

qualification - 1. round

Roberto Carballes Baena #209

William Rejchtman Vinciguerra #879

6-0 6-3

0 Aces 4

0 Double Faults 2

33 Service Points 53

25 First Serve In 36

23 First Serve Won 20

5 Second Serve Won 5

0 Break Points Saved 1

0 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.1 Average Odds 7.0

Roberto Carballes Baena vs William Rejchtman Vinciguerra — Prediction