ATP tennis predict — Roberto Carballes Baena vs Pedro Vives Marcos

Challenger Clay Porto 2 challenger · qualification - round of 16 11:00

Predicted probability

Roberto Carballes Baena

Spain

80.64%

Pedro Vives Marcos

Spain

19.36%

Average Odds

1.23 / 3.83

Market probability

75.69% / 24.31%

Why This Prediction?

Roberto Carballes Baena is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1744 vs 1420), a higher Elo rating (1677 vs 1536) and more wins on clay courts (252 vs 1).

Player Comparison

1677.1 Elo 1535.6

1744.1 Elo (surface) 1420.0

269 Wins (Challenger) 13

252 Wins (surface) 1

9 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.021 Dominance ratio 1.314

209 Rank 538

33.4 Age 25.4

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Roberto Carballes Baena

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–2L · 71.4%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Pedro Vives Marcos

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

7 matches with market odds since 2026-08-31.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Roberto Carballes Baena Pedro Vives Marcos

1st Serve In %

62.3%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

69.8%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.4%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.1%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

55.5%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.46

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.9%

62.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.3%

66.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.6%

48.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.4%

32.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.5%

52.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.28

0.34

Double Faults per Service Game

0.20

0.31

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Roberto Carballes Baena Pedro Vives Marcos

Break Points Saved %

59.2%

—

Break Points Converted %

34.2%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

55.6%

60.8%

Break Points Converted %

55.0%

45.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Roberto Carballes Baena 0 – 0 Pedro Vives Marcos

Clay Porto 2 challenger · 2026-08-31

qualification - round of 16

Pedro Vives Marcos #538

Roberto Carballes Baena #209

7-5 2-2

0 Aces 0

1 Double Faults 3

67 Service Points 54

46 First Serve In 23

24 First Serve Won 12

8 Second Serve Won 14

5 Break Points Saved 3

10 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

3.8 Average Odds 1.2

Roberto Carballes Baena vs Pedro Vives Marcos — Prediction