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Roberto Carballes Baena vs Marc Andrea Huesler — Prediction

Challenger Clay Zug challenger · 1. round

Predicted probability

Marc Andrea Huesler

Switzerland

49.19%

Average Odds

1.81  /  1.92

Market probability

51.47%  /  48.53%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1692.0 Elo 1659.2
1757.4 Elo (surface) 1696.0
267 Wins (Challenger) 152
250 Wins (surface) 59
9 Last 15 form 7
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.857 Dominance ratio 1.087
177 Rank 297
33.3 Age 30.1
right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Roberto Carballes Baena

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–2L · 60.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–2L · 71.4%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Marc Andrea Huesler

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–1L · 75.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–2L · 60.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

12 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Roberto Carballes Baena Marc Andrea Huesler

1st Serve In %

62.3%
61.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.8%
68.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.4%
53.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.1%
26.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

55.5%
47.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.46
0.51

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29
0.30

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.9%
60.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.3%
76.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.6%
53.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.4%
25.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.5%
49.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.28
0.65

Double Faults per Service Game

0.20
0.20

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Roberto Carballes Baena Marc Andrea Huesler

Break Points Saved %

59.2%
63.1%

Break Points Converted %

34.2%
45.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

55.6%
66.7%

Break Points Converted %

55.0%
29.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Roberto Carballes Baena 00 Marc Andrea Huesler

Clay Zug challenger · 2026-07-21
2 Aces 8
0 Double Faults 2
65 Service Points 70
44 First Serve In 48
30 First Serve Won 39
11 Second Serve Won 12
2 Break Points Saved 2
4 Break Points Faced 3
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
1.9 Average Odds 1.8

Roberto Carballes Baena — Last 10

L L W L L W L L L W

Marc Andrea Huesler — Last 10

W L W W W W L W L L