ATP tennis predict — Robert Strombachs vs Pavlos Tsitsipas

Challenger Clay Szczecin challenger · qualification - 1. round 15:00

Predicted probability

Robert Strombachs

Latvia

88.50%

Pavlos Tsitsipas

Greece

11.50%

Average Odds

1.26 / 3.59

Market probability

74.02% / 25.98%

Why This Prediction?

Robert Strombachs is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1456 vs 1269), fewer double faults per game (0.18 vs 0.41) and more career match wins (43 vs 2).

Player Comparison

1456.3 Elo 1268.5

1431.8 Elo (surface) 1371.7

43 Wins (Challenger) 2

20 Wins (surface) 0

6 Last 15 form 2

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.771 Dominance ratio 0.639

415 Rank 1066

27.0 Age 21.1

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Robert Strombachs

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Pavlos Tsitsipas

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

3 matches with market odds since 2026-09-13.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Robert Strombachs Pavlos Tsitsipas

1st Serve In %

61.9%

64.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.5%

61.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

41.9%

17.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.0%

0.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.7%

37.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.34

0.14

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31

1.00

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.6%

58.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.4%

60.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.4%

41.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.4%

31.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

41.4%

44.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.29

0.35

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30

0.40

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Robert Strombachs Pavlos Tsitsipas

Break Points Saved %

65.4%

42.9%

Break Points Converted %

26.7%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

42.9%

41.8%

Break Points Converted %

47.4%

38.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Robert Strombachs 0 – 0 Pavlos Tsitsipas

Clay Szczecin challenger · 2026-09-13

qualification - 1. round

Robert Strombachs #415

Pavlos Tsitsipas #1066

6-7 7-6 6-1

5 Aces 7

6 Double Faults 4

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

52 First Serve Won 45

12 Second Serve Won 9

0 Break Points Saved 1

2 Break Points Faced 5

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.3 Average Odds 3.6

Robert Strombachs vs Pavlos Tsitsipas — Prediction