ATP tennis predict — Robert Strombachs vs Luka Mikrut

Challenger Clay Szczecin challenger · 1. round 12:00

Predicted probability

Robert Strombachs

Latvia

20.34%

Luka Mikrut

Croatia

79.66%

Average Odds

4.36 / 1.19

Market probability

21.44% / 78.56%

Why This Prediction?

Luka Mikrut is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1746 vs 1488), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1841 vs 1485) and more wins on clay courts (50 vs 22).

Player Comparison

1488.5 Elo 1745.7

1485.4 Elo (surface) 1841.3

45 Wins (Challenger) 57

22 Wins (surface) 50

7 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.771 Dominance ratio 1.032

428 Rank 239

27.0 Age 22.4

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Robert Strombachs

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Luka Mikrut

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Robert Strombachs Luka Mikrut

1st Serve In %

61.9%

59.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.5%

70.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

41.9%

56.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.0%

25.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.7%

48.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.34

0.41

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31

0.17

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.6%

64.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.4%

61.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.4%

62.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.4%

31.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

41.4%

41.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.29

0.24

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30

0.20

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Robert Strombachs Luka Mikrut

Break Points Saved %

65.4%

55.2%

Break Points Converted %

26.7%

28.9%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

42.9%

50.0%

Break Points Converted %

47.4%

38.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Robert Strombachs 0 – 0 Luka Mikrut

Clay Szczecin challenger · 2026-09-15

1. round

Luka Mikrut #239

Robert Strombachs #428

4-6 6-4 6-0

4 Aces 3

3 Double Faults 5

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

33 First Serve Won 32

16 Second Serve Won 17

7 Break Points Saved 4

12 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.2 Average Odds 4.4

Robert Strombachs vs Luka Mikrut — Prediction