ATP tennis predict — Robert Strombachs vs Kai Wehnelt

Challenger Clay Augsburg challenger · qualification - round of 16 10:30

Predicted probability

Robert Strombachs

Latvia

55.95%

Kai Wehnelt

Germany

44.05%

Average Odds

2.04 / 1.72

Market probability

45.74% / 54.26%

Why This Prediction?

Robert Strombachs is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1544 vs 1487) and a lighter recent match load (23 vs 26 games played recently).

Player Comparison

1544.4 Elo 1486.9

1530.8 Elo (surface) 1564.5

43 Wins (Challenger) 29

20 Wins (surface) 19

7 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.846 Dominance ratio 0.944

449 Rank 625

26.9 Age 30.7

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Robert Strombachs

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Kai Wehnelt

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–1L · 87.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-06-28.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Robert Strombachs Kai Wehnelt

1st Serve In %

61.9%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

71.5%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

41.9%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.0%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.7%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.34

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.6%

62.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.4%

73.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.4%

53.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.4%

23.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

41.4%

45.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.29

0.64

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30

0.39

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Robert Strombachs Kai Wehnelt

Break Points Saved %

65.4%

—

Break Points Converted %

26.7%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

42.9%

61.5%

Break Points Converted %

47.4%

39.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Robert Strombachs 0 – 0 Kai Wehnelt

Clay Augsburg challenger · 2026-08-24

qualification - round of 16

Kai Wehnelt #594

Robert Strombachs #410

6-1 6-4

1 Aces 5

6 Double Faults 2

34 Service Points 45

20 First Serve In 28

14 First Serve Won 25

12 Second Serve Won 11

1 Break Points Saved 1

5 Break Points Faced 4

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.7 Average Odds 2.0

Robert Strombachs vs Kai Wehnelt — Prediction