ATP tennis predict — Rio Noguchi vs Dhakshineswar Suresh

Challenger Hard Lincoln challenger · R16

Predicted probability

Rio Noguchi

Japan

35.01%

Dhakshineswar Suresh

India

64.99%

Average Odds

2.12 / 1.66

Market probability

43.92% / 56.08%

Why This Prediction?

Dhakshineswar Suresh is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1676 vs 1585), a stronger serve (68.7% vs 60.5% of service points won) and a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1667 vs 1589).

Player Comparison

1584.7 Elo 1676.3

1589.2 Elo (surface) 1667.2

124 Wins (Challenger) 20

113 Wins (surface) 20

8 Last 15 form 12

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.202 Dominance ratio 0.813

222 Rank 446

27.6 Age 26.3

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Rio Noguchi

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–7L · 41.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–4L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Dhakshineswar Suresh

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-06-29.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Rio Noguchi Dhakshineswar Suresh

1st Serve In %

65.5%

64.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

61.1%

74.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.8%

53.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.2%

24.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.8%

41.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.19

0.78

Double Faults per Service Game

0.13

0.34

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

65.7%

60.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

60.3%

75.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.5%

65.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

36.6%

23.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

64.8%

41.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.23

0.63

Double Faults per Service Game

0.16

0.25

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Rio Noguchi Dhakshineswar Suresh

Break Points Saved %

50.0%

70.3%

Break Points Converted %

41.7%

25.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

62.6%

58.5%

Break Points Converted %

45.9%

36.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Rio Noguchi 0 – 0 Dhakshineswar Suresh

Hard Lincoln challenger · 2026-07-15

R16

Rio Noguchi #222

Dhakshineswar Suresh #446

6-4 6-0

2 Aces 5

0 Double Faults 2

40 Service Points 46

30 First Serve In 34

25 First Serve Won 18

7 Second Serve Won 4

0 Break Points Saved 1

0 Break Points Faced 5

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.1 Average Odds 1.7

Rio Noguchi vs Dhakshineswar Suresh — Prediction