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Rinky Hijikata vs Roman Safiullin — Prediction

ATP Hard Shanghai · 1. round 09:30

Predicted probability

Rinky Hijikata

Australia

45.41%

Roman Safiullin

Russia

54.59%

Average Odds

3.28  /  1.33

Market probability

28.85%  /  71.15%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1888.8 Elo 1960.3
1830.4 Elo (surface) 1854.7
97 Wins 108
72 Wins (surface) 68
6 Last 15 form 10
0 Head-to-head wins 0
1.060 Dominance ratio 1.185
85 Rank 79
25.6 Age 29.2
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Rinky Hijikata

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–2L · 60.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–5L · 28.6%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

19 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Roman Safiullin

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–2L · 71.4%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–0L · 100.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Rinky Hijikata Roman Safiullin

1st Serve In %

59.9%
61.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.0%
70.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.1%
62.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.1%
33.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.8%
46.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.57
0.74

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29
0.21

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

56.8%
67.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.8%
70.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.8%
55.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.3%
28.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.3%
52.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.31
0.48

Double Faults per Service Game

0.32
0.27

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Rinky Hijikata Roman Safiullin

Break Points Saved %

54.3%
65.5%

Break Points Converted %

46.3%
37.9%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

57.8%
71.0%

Break Points Converted %

54.0%
56.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Rinky Hijikata and Roman Safiullin have never played each other.

Rinky Hijikata — Last 10

L W L W L L W W L W

Roman Safiullin — Last 10

W W L W L W W W L L