ATP tennis predict — Rinky Hijikata vs Jakub Mensik

ATP Hard Cincinnati · 3. round 20:00

Predicted probability

Rinky Hijikata

Australia

27.91%

Jakub Mensik

Czech Republic

72.09%

Average Odds

3.74 / 1.28

Market probability

25.50% / 74.50%

Why This Prediction?

Jakub Mensik is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1735 vs 1600), a higher Elo rating (1875 vs 1757) and a stronger serve (66.1% vs 62.2% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1757.0 Elo 1875.5

1599.8 Elo (surface) 1734.5

93 Wins 104

68 Wins (surface) 77

9 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.948 Dominance ratio 1.008

95 Rank 16

25.5 Age 21.0

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Rinky Hijikata

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Jakub Mensik

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–4L · 63.6%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Rinky Hijikata Jakub Mensik

1st Serve In %

57.8%

61.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.4%

72.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.7%

52.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.6%

21.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.5%

55.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.38

0.51

Double Faults per Service Game

0.33

0.27

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

56.8%

57.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.8%

74.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.8%

54.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.3%

32.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.3%

48.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.31

0.67

Double Faults per Service Game

0.32

0.28

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Rinky Hijikata Jakub Mensik

Break Points Saved %

57.9%

60.9%

Break Points Converted %

43.4%

44.9%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

57.8%

66.7%

Break Points Converted %

54.0%

54.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Rinky Hijikata 0 – 0 Jakub Mensik

Hard Cincinnati · 2026-08-18

3. round

Jakub Mensik #16

Rinky Hijikata #95

6-3 6-4

0 Aces 13

0 Double Faults 3

70 Service Points 68

50 First Serve In 44

26 First Serve Won 37

16 Second Serve Won 9

6 Break Points Saved 1

8 Break Points Faced 1

17 Winners 26

18 Unforced Errors 34

1.3 Average Odds 3.7

Rinky Hijikata vs Jakub Mensik — Prediction