ATP tennis predict — Rinky Hijikata vs Gael Monfils

ATP Hard Cincinnati · 1. round 01:10

Predicted probability

Rinky Hijikata

Australia

48.85%

Gael Monfils

France

51.15%

Average Odds

2.17 / 1.69

Market probability

43.78% / 56.22%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1730.3 Elo 1766.1

1565.4 Elo (surface) 1842.3

91 Wins 593

66 Wins (surface) 396

8 Last 15 form 4

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.978 Dominance ratio 0.947

93 Rank 347

25.5 Age 40.0

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Rinky Hijikata

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Gael Monfils

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

6 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Rinky Hijikata Gael Monfils

1st Serve In %

57.8%

56.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.4%

69.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.7%

43.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.6%

31.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.5%

50.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.38

0.48

Double Faults per Service Game

0.33

0.34

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

56.8%

57.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.8%

74.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.8%

53.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.3%

33.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.3%

53.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.31

0.73

Double Faults per Service Game

0.32

0.36

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Rinky Hijikata Gael Monfils

Break Points Saved %

57.9%

63.3%

Break Points Converted %

43.4%

38.1%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

57.8%

Break Points Converted %

54.0%

36.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Rinky Hijikata 0 – 0 Gael Monfils

Hard Cincinnati · 2026-08-14

1. round

Rinky Hijikata #93

Gael Monfils #347

2-6 7-6 6-3

3 Aces 16

4 Double Faults 7

101 Service Points 123

55 First Serve In 57

37 First Serve Won 46

28 Second Serve Won 27

2 Break Points Saved 2

6 Break Points Faced 5

30 Winners 35

39 Unforced Errors 55

2.2 Average Odds 1.7

Rinky Hijikata vs Gael Monfils — Prediction