ATP tennis predict — Rinky Hijikata vs Andrey Rublev

ATP Hard Hangzhou · R16 10:30

Predicted probability

Rinky Hijikata

Australia

38.52%

Andrey Rublev

Russia

61.48%

Average Odds

3.36 / 1.31

Market probability

28.05% / 71.95%

Why This Prediction?

Andrey Rublev is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1922 vs 1844), a higher Elo rating (2014 vs 1895) and a stronger serve (67.7% vs 62.9% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1894.9 Elo 2014.0

1843.8 Elo (surface) 1922.0

96 Wins 438

71 Wins (surface) 291

8 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.060 Dominance ratio 1.240

82 Rank 25

25.6 Age 28.9

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Rinky Hijikata

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Andrey Rublev

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–4L · 63.6%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Rinky Hijikata Andrey Rublev

1st Serve In %

57.6%

59.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.6%

74.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.4%

51.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.4%

31.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.8%

46.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.40

0.65

Double Faults per Service Game

0.35

0.25

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

56.8%

58.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.8%

74.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.8%

48.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.3%

35.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.3%

55.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.31

0.28

Double Faults per Service Game

0.32

0.18

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Rinky Hijikata Andrey Rublev

Break Points Saved %

53.7%

67.2%

Break Points Converted %

45.8%

37.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

57.8%

56.5%

Break Points Converted %

54.0%

48.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Rinky Hijikata and Andrey Rublev have never played each other.

Rinky Hijikata vs Andrey Rublev — Prediction