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Richard Biagiotti vs Gavin Young — Prediction

Challenger Hard Bloomfield Hills challenger · qualification - 1. round

Predicted probability

Richard Biagiotti

Denmark

35.63%

Gavin Young

USA

64.37%

Average Odds

10.17  /  1.03

Market probability

9.20%  /  90.80%

Why This Prediction?

Gavin Young is the favorite because he has a stronger serve (68.3% vs 37.8% of service points won), fewer double faults per game (0.05 vs 0.23) and a stronger return game (48.0% vs 19.4% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1439.0 Elo 1432.8
1500 Elo (surface) 1442.5
0 Wins (Challenger) 0
0 Wins (surface) 0
0 Last 15 form 0
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.311 Dominance ratio 1.512
- Rank 590
None Age 23.8
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Richard Biagiotti

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

1 matches with market odds since 2026-07-19.

Gavin Young

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–2L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

6 matches with market odds since 2026-07-13.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Richard Biagiotti Gavin Young

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

74.2%
58.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.2%
70.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.0%
48.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.8%
23.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

33.3%
45.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.59
0.25

Double Faults per Service Game

0.24
0.22

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Richard Biagiotti Gavin Young

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

45.5%
51.6%

Break Points Converted %

40.0%
34.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Richard Biagiotti 00 Gavin Young

Hard Bloomfield Hills challenger · 2026-07-19

qualification - 1. round

Gavin Young #564

Richard Biagiotti #-

6-3 6-4
0 Aces 9
2 Double Faults 1
55 Service Points 48
30 First Serve In 40
20 First Serve Won 34
14 Second Serve Won 6
2 Break Points Saved 0
4 Break Points Faced 0
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
1.0 Average Odds 10.2

Richard Biagiotti — Last 2

L L

Gavin Young — Last 6

L W L L W L